User blog comment:JCC the Alternate Historian/If the Entente Powers Won the Great War in Southern Victory/@comment-35176527-20180725211525/@comment-21519-20180728071757

Italy would probably be most interested in keeping out of the way. In the postwar period, hostility toward France might lead it to become a sort of silent partner for revanchist movements.

Ireland is going to have to fight for its independence, and it may lose. Or it may not. I don't see much difference from OTL there. A timeline where Home Rule was implemented might be interesting, but it won't be this one.

Liberia can possibly maintain its independence, but will have to make new friends. If it's to survive, it's going to have to find a way to play colonial powers off against each other, like Terminus did after the Galactic Empire withdrew from Anacreon Province and the Four Kingdoms filled the void. With a much, much more modest end goal, of course. Maybe Thailand selling itself as a buffer state between the Raj and French Indochina is a better analogy, though Liberia doesn't even have that much to offer. Still, it can be done, especially if Europeans are distracted elsewhere.

I'm afraid Haiti will be a Confederate bitch, though they should be able to retain at least a nominal independence.

I see Brazil emerging as South America's hegemon as the likeliest outcome there. In order to do so, she will want to support Chile and Paraguay against Argentina without exposing herself to the Entente's full fury.